Hybrid Evolutionary Neuro-fuzzy Computational Tool to Forecast Wind Power and Electricity Prices

نویسندگان

  • G. J. Osório
  • Hugo M. I. Pousinho
  • João C. O. Matias
  • Cláudio Monteiro
  • João P. S. Catalão
چکیده

The intermittence of the renewable sources due to its unpredictability increases the instability of the actual grid and energy supply. Besides, in a deregulated and competitive framework, producers and consumers require short-term forecasting tools to derive their bidding strategies to the electricity market. This paper proposes a novel hybrid computational tool, based on a combination of evolutionary particle swarm optimization with an adaptivenetwork-based fuzzy inference system, for wind power forecasting and electricity prices forecasting in the short-term. The results from two real-world case studies are presented, in order to illustrate the proficiency of the proposed computational tool.

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تاریخ انتشار 2012